Inflationary pressures are showing no signs of easing just yet and the market will soon look to test the Fed’s patience. The dollar has been stuck in a tight trading range since the middle of June, but that could soon change if the rest of the world shifts to a tightening mode more quickly than […]
Global stocks are all over the place as some indexes fall into correction while others continue to extend higher into record territory. The bond market volatility surprised many investors as the growth outlook took a massive hit with the spread of the Delta coronavirus variant showing many countries are still struggling to return to normal. […]
Previously, the US nonfarm payrolls beat market expectations on the upside, with hiring accelerating in June as labor market supply constraints eased. 850k new jobs added,marking the highest reading in 10 months. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% MoM and 3.6% YoY, reflecting strong demand for labor. This week, Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes may give […]
Time is running out for passage of additional US fiscal stimulus in 2020 as the year winds down and the holidays rapidly approach. Congressional parties hit a brick wall yet again, even with the scaled-down $900 billion plan, this time on conflict over employer virus liability. Each time the negotiations appear to be about to […]
COVID-19 is likely to remain the dominant market theme in the coming, holiday-shortened week. The rising trajectory of the pandemic versus ongoing progress toward a vaccine will cause investors to whipsaw wildly between pessimism and optimism, driving markets lower or higher depending on prevailing sentiment. Last week played out much as we predicted, when positive […]
On Saturday, the media called the US presidential election for Joe Biden, but President Donald Trump rejected the outcome and won’t concede. Additionally, he will continue with legal challenges, claiming fraud. So far, his demand made no progress in courts, as he failed to add prove to his accusations, except for those asking for observers […]
Markets are cautiously optimistic and the US dollar is edging lower amid fresh hopes that the US agrees on a stimulus deal before the elections. Chinese Q3 GDP missed estimates but includes several positives. Concerns about eurozone coronavirus cases and Brexit talks is weighing on sentiment. Fiscal stimulus: US President Donald Trump has said that […]
The major central banks have met, and not one felt it incumbent upon them to take fresh policy action. Despite some dramatic intraday swings and close scrutiny, the euro-dollar exchange rate continues to be mainly in a $1.17-$1.19 trading range that has dominated since the end of July. All the commotion about the rapid rise […]
