The dollar edged higher in early European trading Monday, but remained near a one-week low as rising Covid-19 cases and slumping U.S. consumer confidence could pressure the Federal Reserve to delay tapering its bond-buying program. At 2:55 AM ET (0755 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, […]
The virus is once again raising the prospects of slowing the economic recovery that was unevenly unfolding. The preliminary July PMI for Australia, UK, France, and the US was disappointed. Expectations for the trajectory of monetary policy are being impacted. Consider that the implied yield of the December 2022 Eurodollar futures fell to 40 bp […]
Inflationary pressures are showing no signs of easing just yet and the market will soon look to test the Fed’s patience. The dollar has been stuck in a tight trading range since the middle of June, but that could soon change if the rest of the world shifts to a tightening mode more quickly than […]
Previously, the US nonfarm payrolls beat market expectations on the upside, with hiring accelerating in June as labor market supply constraints eased. 850k new jobs added,marking the highest reading in 10 months. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% MoM and 3.6% YoY, reflecting strong demand for labor. This week, Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes may give […]
Asian stocks dropped on Monday as investors mulled the implications of a surprise hawkish shift last week by the U.S. Federal Reserve, while the Treasury yield curve flattened further with 30-year yields dropping below 2%. Though investors have been spoiled by the most generous stimulus ever, both from the Fed and the Biden Administration, a […]
US CPI DATA: Possible Impact on GOLD | TAPERING to guide the further direction If the US CPI print comes in hotter than the consensus of a 0.4% rise in May, it will ramp up the Fed’s tapering expectation, which will render negative for the non-yielding gold. The ECB could also hint towards dialling back […]
Time is running out for passage of additional US fiscal stimulus in 2020 as the year winds down and the holidays rapidly approach. Congressional parties hit a brick wall yet again, even with the scaled-down $900 billion plan, this time on conflict over employer virus liability. Each time the negotiations appear to be about to […]
December may normally be associated with everything slowing down as we ease our way into the festive period, but as with everything else in 2020, this is no normal December. Donald Trump is continuing to fight the election result and is going out swinging, Brexit talks are somehow still ongoing, the EU budget and rescue […]
Markets are cautiously optimistic and the US dollar is edging lower amid fresh hopes that the US agrees on a stimulus deal before the elections. Chinese Q3 GDP missed estimates but includes several positives. Concerns about eurozone coronavirus cases and Brexit talks is weighing on sentiment. Fiscal stimulus: US President Donald Trump has said that […]
