Markets are cautiously optimistic and the US dollar is edging lower amid fresh hopes that the US agrees on a stimulus deal before the elections. Chinese Q3 GDP missed estimates but includes several positives. Concerns about eurozone coronavirus cases and Brexit talks is weighing on sentiment. Fiscal stimulus: US President Donald Trump has said that […]
Brexit talks and rising coronavirus cases in Europe are also a consideration for general market mood. The EU and UK resume negotiations this week and the risk of a no-deal Brexit is another shroud of uncertainty for the global economy. The focus will shift to the latest US non-farm payrolls report on Friday. Rosy data […]
The major central banks have met, and not one felt it incumbent upon them to take fresh policy action. Despite some dramatic intraday swings and close scrutiny, the euro-dollar exchange rate continues to be mainly in a $1.17-$1.19 trading range that has dominated since the end of July. All the commotion about the rapid rise […]
AstraZeneca’s renewal of its coronavirus vaccine test is contributing to a better market mood, favorable for stocks and weighing on the dollar. Japan will have a new prime minister and the UK parliament will debate the controversial internal market bill today, aggravating relations with the EU. Below are thumbnail sketches of the events and data […]
Investors are cheering fresh hopes for an upcoming coronavirus vaccine and upbeat Chinese PMIs. Eurozone CPI figures and end-of-month flows are set to move markets. Stephen Hahn, head of the US Food and Drug Administration, said he is willing to fast-track vaccine approval if benefits outweigh the risks. China has approved the Sinovac COVID-19 vaccine […]
Amid thin trading and signs the economic recovery is losing momentum, most stocks closed lower on Friday. Adding to the gloom: Congressional negotiations over additional pandemic relief have gone nowhere and likely won’t start again for weeks, now that US legislators have gone on holiday through the end of August. We expect this conviction to […]
Asian shares cheer the hopes of further corporate debt, increasing odds of the pandemic’s cure. Global virus numbers rise beyond 13.00 million with the US, Brazil and India on the top. Gilead’s Remdesivir, trials in the UK and Australia are all suggesting that the vaccine is nearer. Below are thumbnail sketches of the events and […]
FX markets have been joggled into action, as risk sentiment has not precisely fallen off a cliff, just as the bears always seem to expect on a Monday. Although if pressed for a view, this morning’s price action seems more related to position-squaring on new USD longs rather than anything else. Overall, the FX market […]
The Federal Reserve moves to centre stage this week. Outside of the US and Chinese inflation measures, it looks to be a relatively light week in terms of high-frequency economic data. Investors are still ruminating over the surprising jobs report (gain of 2.5 mln jobs vs. forecasts for 7.5 mln loss). Yes, there were classification […]
