The market mood is mixed as a new week begins as coronavirus cases continue rising in the US while hopes for a COVID-19 vaccine remain high. Hopes for a breakthrough in the EU Summit are keeping the euro bid. Below are thumbnail sketches of the events and data that shape the macro picture. Country US […]
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Pause, Think, Act
Asian shares cheer the hopes of further corporate debt, increasing odds of the pandemic’s cure. Global virus numbers rise beyond 13.00 million with the US, Brazil and India on the top. Gilead’s Remdesivir, trials in the UK and Australia are all suggesting that the vaccine is nearer. Below are thumbnail sketches of the events and […]
Second-half and Second-wave
Asian stocks kicked off the week on a strong positive note; hopes for more policy support being pretty much the only explanation to the early week optimism. The economic calendar is modest, and many market participants will probably extend their long weekends. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and jobless claims data will be the most important. […]
Economic Stability In Doubts
The economic calendar is a big one, compressed into a holiday-shortened week. Market participants will be checking out shortly after the Thursday morning jobs report for an extended weekend – somewhere! Employment data is the focus, but ISM manufacturing, consumer confidence, industrial production, factory orders, pending home sales, and auto sales are also all on […]
The Debts Continue To Rise
FX markets have been joggled into action, as risk sentiment has not precisely fallen off a cliff, just as the bears always seem to expect on a Monday. Although if pressed for a view, this morning’s price action seems more related to position-squaring on new USD longs rather than anything else. Overall, the FX market […]
The Big Week
There is a definite risk-off tone to Asia’s financial markets this morning as the week gets underway. Weekend headlines were dominated by fears of secondary outbreaks of COVID-19, especially in Beijing; where part of the city has been locked down to contain a localized outbreak. South Korea and Japan are ready to play whack-a-mole controlling […]
The Recovery Momentum
The Federal Reserve moves to centre stage this week. Outside of the US and Chinese inflation measures, it looks to be a relatively light week in terms of high-frequency economic data. Investors are still ruminating over the surprising jobs report (gain of 2.5 mln jobs vs. forecasts for 7.5 mln loss). Yes, there were classification […]
Welcome, June
Three major central banks meet this week, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. The first two will likely assure investors and businesses that they are prepared to do more if necessary, but are probably not going to take fresh initiatives. On the other hand, the ECB is […]